Monte Carlo Engine

10,000 cash flow simulations varying revenue, expenses, and market conditions.

Monte Carlo Cash Flow Engine

Rather than a single deterministic cash flow projection, Venatri runs 10,000 simulated scenarios using distributions calibrated to your industry, state, and inputs.

Each iteration varies:

  • Revenue ramp rate -- fitted from Census BDS cohort data
  • Operating expense variance -- from IRS SOI industry data
  • Customer acquisition cost -- stochastic uncertainty
  • Seasonal revenue fluctuation -- industry-specific patterns
  • Unexpected expense shocks -- fat-tailed distribution
  • SBA loan interest rates -- from SBA 7(a) historical data